Farah Khan is confident that big films will get people back to theatres
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Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 670
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RADHE’S HYBRID RELEASE PLANS STUNS THE INDUSTRY
Almost all Hindi films scheduled for release in April have been pushed ahead as the second wave of Coronavirus has wreaked havoc. Now all eyes were on the releases in May. There was buzz that the much awaited Salman Khan starrer, Radhe, would also be pushed ahead. After all, it’s a big film and with theatres shut in most parts of the country, it won’t be able to do the desired business.
Shockingly, yesterday, the makers announced that Radhe would release as scheduled on May 13, on Ramzan Eid. However, it’ll have a hybrid release. It means that it’ll release in theatres and simultaneously on ZeePlex as well. ZeePlex is a pay-per-view platform. It's different from say a Netflix or Amazon Prime where one pays a subscription fee for a month or a year and can then enjoy all the content available on the platform for that period. In the case of ZeePlex, one needs to pay in order to watch a particular film. Also, one needs to see it within a stipulated time, that is within 12 or 24 hours of paying for the film.
Hollywood has adopted this model and is doing well. In fact, Warner Bros has been similarly releasing all its films in cinemas and also on its pay-per-view platform, HBO Max, in North America (USA and Canada). This approach of Warner Bros commenced with the 2020 Christmas release, Wonder Woman 1984. This was a time when most cinemas were shut in the USA and the residents were able to enjoy the Gal Gadot starrer at the same time as the rest of the world thanks to its same-day digital release. Many felt that this would sound the death knell for cinemas. The argument was that if a film is available online, most viewers would not prefer going to the theatres. However, this notion was proved wrong last month with the release of Godzilla vs. Kong. The film got record viewings on HBO Max but at the same time, managed to get record footfalls post pandemic in cinemas as well. As of April 18, Godzilla vs. Kong collected $80.6 million in North America. Its worldwide total is $390.9 million and is all set to soon cross the $400 million mark. Interestingly, it was made at a budget of approximately $165 million. In other words, it has proved to be a profitable venture.
Talks of Radhe’s hybrid release have been going around since a long time in the trade. Then, the argument was that the hybrid release won’t affect box office as not all have access to streaming platforms. Hence, those who want to see it in cinemas would still do so. However, things have changed a lot in the last few weeks. Theatres in most cities like Mumbai, Pune, Delhi, Ahmedabad, Rajkot, Jaipur etc are shut. There’s no guarantee if the administration in these places would allow cinemas to resume operations by May 13. In fact, cinemas in many more cities can also shut in the coming days since the pandemic refuses to die down. In such a scenario, one wonders where Radhe would get a theatrical release and what would be its collections from the few places where it manages to release in cinemas? Hence, most viewers would have no choice but to watch it in their homes. The question that now arises is – how many of them would actually pay a certain amount to watch Radhe on ZeePlex? Indian viewers are different from that of the USA and are still stingy when it comes to paying online for content. As a result, most viewers would access the film on pirated websites.
In other words, Radhe’s domestic box office would be very poor. While the number of people paying to view it on ZeePlex will also be very few. One then wonders how Zee Studios would be able to recover the Rs. 230 or Rs. 240 crores it has paid to producers Salman Khan, Sohail Khan and Atul Agnihotri to buy the film.
The other point of view is that a large number of viewers, especially the affluent one and those living in cities would be ready to shell out money to see Radhe on ZeePlex. Moreover, it will have a release Overseas where it’ll be released only in cinemas. In UAE, it’s expected to have a record opening as it releases on Eid, a huge festival there, and also because it’s the first big Hindi film to release in more than a year. The UK box office is opening up from May 11. USA, New Zealand and Australia markets are already back on track to a great extent. So the makers are hoping to recover a chunk of investment through international box office.
A list of top 10 grossers in Hindi post Covid-19
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2. Wonder Woman 1984 (Hindi) - 3,37,00,000
3. Vijay The Master (Hindi) - 2,96,00,000
4. Tenet (Hindi) - 2,18,00,000
5. Indoo Ki Jawani - 1,14,00,000
6. Tom & Jerry (Hindi) - 65,00,000 (10 days)
7. Madam Chief Minister - 57,00,000
8. Shakeela - 35,00,000
9. Ramprasad Ki Tehrvi - 30,00,000
10. Chakra Ka Rakshak (Hindi) - 25,00,000
Chinese film Detective Chinatown 3 heading for world record opening
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Big films may improve the scenario but smaller films are helping theatres to get going
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Box office position at present: South is clearly ahead
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Tamil Nadu is the first state to allow 100% occupancy which is great news. But it's also surprising as it was expected that the Centre would make the decision to allow full occupancy and then the state would decide if the pandemic issue in their state allows full occupancy.
The hope will be that all goes well when Tamil films release on Pongal as this will mean more states allowing full occupancy. What will not be needed is a rise in infection rate in Tamil Nadu after allowing 100% occupancy as that will put plans back across India. Europe saw big rises in infections after sporting events in February but that was as crowds of 50,000 plus gathered and obviously it is not likely that this much crowd will gather together at cinemas.
The ratio of WONDER WOMAN 1984 with the ratio of Hollywood films in 2019 in brackets is as follows. Odisha and Kerala have seen cinemas opening in January 2021 but there are no collections of WONDER WOMAN 1984 as yet while Rajasthan remains shut. The circuits performing better than normal are in bold.
Delhi / UP - 17.5% (19%)
East Punjab - 5.75% (7%)
Rajasthan - Shut (3%)
CP Berar - 1.75% (3%)
CI - 1% (2.5%)
Nizam / Andhra - 16% (8%)
Mysore / Karnataka - 10% (10%)
Tamil Nadu - 18% (9%)
Kerala - Shut (2.5%)
West Bengal - 7.5% (4%)
Bihar - 0.75% (1%)
Assam - 0.75% (1%)
Odisha - Shut (1%)
We are looking at bringing Sooryavanshi or '83 in the third week of March, during Holi-Shibasish Sarkar
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Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 654
9:48 AM
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There have been several years in the past which have been disappointing and where we have seen few hits and more number of flops. But 2020 stands out. Previously, the bad years would at least see some business. In this year, from March 18 to October 14, theatrical business was zero as all theatres were shut due to the Coronavirus pandemic. Even when cinemas opened gradually from October 15, the business didn’t pick up. Most producers of big and mid-sized films refused to release their films. The perception was that since the pandemic hasn’t subsided, the viewers might not turn up to cinemas in big numbers out of fear of catching the virus. Hence, very selected films have been released like Suraj Pe Mangal Bhari, Indoo Ki Jawani, Shakeela, Vinashkaal etc. These films failed to even cross the Rs. 6 crore mark individually. The problem was not with the films’ content per se. These movies had very low buzz and excitement was hardly there. Trade experts said repeatedly that we should not judge the scenario based on the box office outcomes of these films as these movies would have not worked even in normal times. However, their statement fell on deaf ears.
Thankfully, a few films managed to do well. The Hollywood flick Tenet, released on December 4, in India. It was released 3 months after it’s release elsewhere in the world. The reports were mixed and moreover, a good print was leaked on the internet. Anyway, this was a niche film as it’s very complex. Yet, there was some excitement to see it on the big screen as it’s directed by Christopher Nolan, who enjoys a fan following. It managed to collect around Rs. 11 crore which is a great figure for this film, considering these challenges.
Then, last week, the much-awaited flick Wonder Woman 1984 released extensively in original English and dubbed versions. We had predicted last week that it’ll collect Rs. 30-40 lakhs in paid previews and Rs. 90 lakhs-1 crore on Thursday. However, the film exceeded expectations as it collected Rs. 75 lakhs in previews on Wednesday and Rs. 1.50 crore on Thurday, which was Christmas eve. We had mentioned that we are unsure if it'll be able to collect as much as the first part did in its opening weekend, which was Rs. 8 crore. But this film managed to reach that mark. Today, the collections would increase a bit as it’s December 31. At this rate, Wonder Woman 1984 is all set to break Tenet’s lifetime record in just 8 days. Tomorrow is again a holiday due to January 1. Hence, the second weekend collections can also be encouraging. It now remains to be seen if Wonder Woman 1984 will be able to cross Wonder Woman’s lifetime collections of Rs. 23 crore.
What’s important to note that in North America and a few other markets, Wonder Woman 1984 had a simultaneous release in cinemas as well as on HBO Max, an online platform. Hence, a good quality HD print of the film was out since last Friday. Yet, the business of the film is quite good, probably as it’s a grand film and is best enjoyed in cinemas. It once again reaffirms that audiences are ready to come to cinemas if they feel excited for it.
However, a film that did even better than Wonder Woman 1984 is the Telugu film Solo Brathuke So Better. This romantic comedy is directed by debutant guy named Subbu and stars Sai Dharam Tej and Nabha Natesh. It was released alongside Wonder Woman 1984, on December 25, and had a very good first day, collecting a huge Rs. 3.75 crore. From the first day, the social media was filled with videos and pictures of theatres running housefull (with 50% occupancy of course). Also, it was heartening to see all the major artists of Telugu film industry coming out in support of this film and urging viewers to watch it in cinemas. In 4 days, it has managed to collect Rs. 10.25 crore and is expected to recover it’s costs in the first week itself.
Besides these, a few other films in Kannada, Tamil and Bengal industry also drew audiences. Meanwhile, the new strain of Coronavirus has not really caused havoc, as feared. The daily number of cases is at a 6-month low and is expected to further fall in the new year. The vaccine rollout will also start in a few weeks and by June, the priority 30-crore population is expected to get inoculated. Even before that happens, the cases will become negligible as herd immunity gets achieved and the winter season ends in the next 45-50 days. And thankfully, the exciting flick, Master, starring Tamil superstar Vijay, has already been scheduled to release during Pongal, on January 13. Interestingly, it’ll have a wide release in dubbed languages too. If it emerges as a huge hit, it’s bound to result in a steady flow of releases in Bollywood from February!
Zee joins the digital race with Radhe
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Coolie No 1 sets record on OTT
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The highest for the Amazon platform was a web series called MIRZAPUR 2 which released in 2020 but COOLIE NO 1 has surpassed this by a distance. This is expected as COOLIE NO 1 is fetching a 100 crore plus price for just its 130 odd minutes of content while the web series could be 300 or even 400 minutes of content for a fraction of the price.
This itself shows the huge difference in value of the two for the platform. So on one side you are smashing records but on the other side the competition is not much as far as the platform is concerned. If we look at it in box office terms then on one side is a film with 100 crore nett potential and the other is an also ran type.
The best comparison for COOLIE NO 1 would be against LAXMII but here its two different platforms with Disney+ Hotstar having a bigger base due to the IPL cricket. It is possible that COOLIE NO 1 may come out with a similar type of number to LAXMII as a holiday release can compensate somewhat for the lower base of the platform. It also depends on whether Amazon Prime had the same growth as Disney+ Hotstar in terms of subscription in the lockdown. LAXMII was released post the IPL and that would have pushed Disney+ Hotstar subscription to the highest level for the year.
The year has been a disaster but its ended on a slightly better note with COOLIE NO 1 scoring big on OTT and WONDER WOMAN 1984 putting up decent numbers in theatres. The numbers of Telugu film SOLO BRATHUKE SO BETTER are awaited and they are also expected to be positive.
Will Wonder Woman 1984 have a bigger opening than Tenet and Wonder Woman's 1st part?
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(Crisp) Movie Review: WONDER WOMAN 1984 by FENIL SETA
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Wonder Woman 1984 is a great entertainer that is sure to give viewers their money’s worth. The scene of the young Diana in the beginning is thrilling to say the least. The entry of adult Diana is straight out of a Salman Khan film. In fact, the film is unabashedly commercial, unlike most of the DC Universe films. On the flipside, the ending is a bit lengthy and quite preachy. These factors dilute the impact. Speaking of performances, Gal Gadot, as expected, is stunning and suits the part to the T. That she would rock in the action avatar was expected. However, she shines in the emotional scenes as well beautifully. Chris Pine is excellent and the manner in which he comes back from the dead is well done. His aircraft scene is adorable and gives a déjà vu of a Disney film. Kristen Wiig is a real surprise. Her track is impressive and she does full justice. Pedro Pascal as the megalomaniac villain is over the top but it works big time for his role. Connie Nielsen (Hippolyta; Diana's mother) and Robin Wright (Antiope) are lovely in their cameo appearances. Hans Zimmer’s music is a bit overpowering but works big time in enhancing impact. Matthew Jensen's cinematography is breathtaking. All in all, Wonder Woman 1984 is a big-screen spectacle and deserves a watch in cinemas!
My rating - **** out of 5!
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 653
10:15 AM
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The beneficial Christmas weekend is here. Unlike Diwali, when a small film Suraj Pe Mangal Bhari released in cinemas, this time, things are little better. After all, Wonder Woman 1984, one of the most awaited films of the year, will be releasing. Audiences would have the choice of watching this flick and also three more. My analysis:
1. WONDER WOMAN 1984: It is the sequel of the 2017 flick Wonder Woman and stars Gal Gadot yet again in the lead role. The director, Patty Jenkins, too returns to helm the sequel. The first film was set during World War I while part 2 is based in the year 1984 at the height of the Cold War. The trailer promises loads of entertainment and big-scale action. Gal looks stunning and her casting has added a lot to the film’s brand value. She also has quite a following in India.
The first part released with minimal hype and only in English. It was released amidst 7-8 Hindi releases and a major English film (Baywatch). Yet it had emerged as the top film of all and had a lifetime of Rs. 19-20 crore. The opening day collections were Rs. 2.50 crore. Wonder Woman 1984 releases today (Wednesday December 23) with paid previews from 5:00 PM onwards. From tomorrow, it’ll have a full-day release to take advantage of Christmas Eve, when people do come out in huge numbers. It is getting a wide release, of more than 1000 screens, making it the biggest release of the season. The film is in 3D but the makers have decided to release only in 2D, fearing that some theatres might end up giving used glasses to patrons.
Sadly, it faces many challenges. Firstly, the perception is that audiences might not come in huge numbers. Secondly, the film is releasing simultaneously in cinemas and on HBO Max platform in many markets of North America and Europe. Once it’s out digitally, it’s pirated HD print would make its way on the internet. Trade fears that a chunk of moviegoers would prefer to watch the film at home illegally instead of spending money to see it in cinemas. And lastly, a major roadblock has been put in Maharashtra after the state government imposed a curfew from 11 pm to 6 am. As a result, all shows post 8:00 pm had to be cancelled. The exhibitors have been quite hurt and angry with this decision as this film had recorded very good bookings for late evening and night shows from December 23. Not to forget, the two prime markets of the film are in Maharashtra, Mumbai and Pune.
Due to these reasons, it’s difficult to say if Wonder Woman 1984 would be able to collect more than day 1 collections of part 1, which were Rs. 2.50 crore. However, it releases in Hindi and South languages as well. Also, the international reviews have been encouraging. The paid previews collections can be around Rs. 30-40 lakhs while Thursday can be around Rs. 90 lakhs-1 crore. It is from Friday December 25 that the film would collect tremendously. Wonder Woman’s first weekend was around Rs. 8 crore and maybe, the collections of the sequel might not be able to reach that mark. The target for this film would be to go beyond Tenet’s lifetime collections, which are around Rs. 11 crore. With the year-end being a time when work is slow and people want to enjoy, the weekday collections can be encouraging. In fact, Tenet’s lifetime record can be broken by Wonder Woman 1984 in the first week itself.
2. SHAKEELA: It stars Richa Chadha as Southern star of the 80s and 90s, Shakeela. Directed by Indrajit Lankesh, it also stars Pankaj Tripathi. It seems to be in The Dirty Picture zone. But hype and awareness are almost zero. And moreover, it’s a theatrical release, from December 25. A film with some excitement like Indoo Ki Jawani opened at Rs. 20 lakhs. This flick might open at less than Rs. 10 lakhs sadly.
3. COOLIE NO 1: It is the remake of the much-loved 1995 film of the same name. Just like the original, it’s also directed by David Dhawan. Starring Varun Dhawan, Sara Ali Khan, Paresh Rawal, Rajpal Yadav, Jaaved Jaaferi and Johny Lever, it looks like a big-screen entertainer. Sadly, the film is releasing on Amazon Prime, on December 25. The fear is that just like Laxmii, this film too would get ridiculed. After all, it’s the elite audiences who subscribe to these channels and they despise such masala films. A real idea of the film’s verdict would be out when this film would be aired on television.
4. AK VS AK: It is directed by Vikramaditya Motwane and stars Anil Kapoor and Anurag Kashyap. Interestingly, both play themselves, but exaggerated versions of it. The film shows that Anurag Kashyap kidnaps Anil Kapoor’s daughter Sonam and compels Anil to find her, while filming the whole experience in real time. The trailer is crazy and it’s sure to get viewership, especially among the elite who would love to watch such experimental content. It releases on December 24 on Netflix, which is the day Anil Kapoor celebrates his birthday.
Wonder Woman 1984 underperforms in China
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Gal Gadot's Wonder Woman 1984 all set to arrive to save the world, and theatres
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Logjam at the box office in 2021?
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Christopher Nolan brings back the audience with Tenet, wonders expected from Gal Gadot's Wonder Woman 1984
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Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 650
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TENET RECORDS EXCELLENT ADVANCE!
Since last couple of weeks, we have been stressing in our Bollywood Talks that exciting films should start releasing in cinemas, notwithstanding the Coronavirus pandemic. Although the virus has not gone anywhere, the curve has been flattening here in India. A second wave was feared post Diwali. It’s almost 20 days since the Festival of Lights and yet, the cases have been decreasing. Since November 22, the daily number of cases hasn’t breached the 45,000 mark. All this shows that the situation has been improving.
Yet, the Bollywood industry has been reluctant in releasing the film as the filmmakers fear that audiences might not come. The other unfounded fear is that a second lockdown might happen which also seems unlikely as it’ll lead to major economic repercussions and plus, as mentioned above, it won’t be needed when cases are reducing. The industry failed to see that audiences are bored and are hence heading to Juhu Beach, Marine Drive etc in Mumbai and also other places for leisure. Also, restaurants and pubs are getting great footfalls. These places are a little riskier as one has to remove the mask to consume food and drinks. Cinemas are safer as all precautions are strictly in place and moreover, one has to compulsorily wear the mask.
Yet, the industry remained adamant. It has scheduled small films like Indoo Ki Jawani and Shakeela for release. A film like Shakeela, in fact, is shockingly releasing on the lucrative Christmas weekend. These films look interesting but won’t attract audiences in hordes. And when these films will flop, the industry will feel vindicated and shout from the rooftops how they have been right all along that audiences are scared to visit theatres!
These silly excuses of the industry are all set to run out of steam this weekend. Tenet, the much awaited Hollywood film of Christopher Nolan, is releasing tomorrow. It is not a mainstream masala flick like Avengers or Fast & Furious series. It was released way back in August-end and September in the rest of the world and the reviews have been mixed. Yet, the audiences here are eager to see it, that too, on the big screen due to Nolan and its unique concept. The advance booking of the film started on Saturday and Sunday and believe it or not, by Monday, a lot of shows got sold out! The IMAX shows especially got full first as these are limited across the country. But even the non-IMAX shows began to get excellent bookings.
The trade was left stunned as 25,000 tickets got sold for Tenet over the weekend, that is, 5 days before release! In today’s times, when occupancy generally increases just hours before the show, this is a feat. Another shocker is that 2020’s biggest hit, Tanhaji: The Unsung Warrior, had sold just 20,000 tickets, in advance, for its first weekend! In fact, a box office website also claimed that if Tenet had sold 25,000 tickets a day before release, even that would have been very good. But here, it managed to do so days before it’s release. And this speaks volumes how people are ready to come to cinemas in large numbers if the film is exciting enough! Is Bollywood listening?
Last year, Warner Bros released Joker which collected Rs. 5.25 crore on Day 1. This was because it was released on Gandhi Jayanti holiday. However, it collected despite clashing with War and Sye Raa Narasimha Reddy. Despite maximum 50% occupancy, Tenet (also produced by Warner Bros) can collect close to Joker’s collections. Even if the collections are in the Rs. 3.50-4.50 crore range for day 1, it’ll be praiseworthy. A weekend in the Rs. 11-13 crore range will be more than enough, considering the challenges and the perception that no one will come to cinemas!
The exhibitors who have been struggling to get patrons can now finally heave a sigh of relief. They are excitedly wondering that if a film like Tenet can manage such advance sales, then how much would Wonder Woman 1984 manage, which releases on Christmas, and has far more appeal than the Nolan-directorial? Here’s hoping the Bollywood industry finally wakes up, sheds his fear and announces a big or mid-sized for Christmas or New Year at least.
Exhibitors pin hopes on Gal Gadot's Wonder Woman 1984 to revive business
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Will re-release of films work for theatres?
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Cinema halls are gearing to reopen when restrictions ease, but they’re likely to use old hits to draw audiences
Rishabh Suri (HINDUSTAN TIMES; June 11, 2020)
With life crawling back to normal mid the Coronavirus crisis, and resumption of shoots, comes the big question: when will movie theatres reopen? And an even bigger question: which filmmakers will be ready to test the waters and see whether audiences trickle in?UAE, with no new films in hand, has decided to re-release Good Newwz and Dream Girl, both 2019 films, in theatres. Back home too, experts believe the same strategy would be employed.
OLD MAY STRIKE GOLD
Manoj Desai, executive director of G7 Multiplex and Maratha Mandir cinema, Mumbai says, “A theatre lockdown happened in 1996. On reopening I decided to re-run the 1961 Shammi Kapoor film Junglee. It was housefull. Then I re-released Teesri Manzil, also housefull. Just after the Covid-19 lockdown started, I had thought I’ll again use this idea.”
Earlier, speculation was rife that Sooryavanshi and '83 would be the first to release to draw audiences. But '83 director Kabir Khan told us recently, “It’s not like the lockdown will lift and we will throw our films to test waters. We will wait till comfortable.”Shibasish Sarkar, group CEO, Reliance Entertainment which is involved with both these films, says, “We are expecting theatres to reopen in mid to end of July. Also, it will be in some states. It’s not as if suddenly some ready films would be released, it will take time. Hollywood films will come first — Christopher Nolan’s Tenet, Mulan, then Wonder Woman 1984. I expect old films to be released again, but I don’t expect people to come to the hall for them. It would be a kind of practice for theatres to get everything ready.”
He confirms both their films won’t be among the first to release, but adds Reliance would give any of their titles such as Simmba (2018), Golmaal Again (2017), Super 30 (2019) for free to theatre owners. “We survive because theatres are there,” he adds.
THE OTT FACTOR
However, recent films such as Angrezi Medium or Baaghi 3 are already on OTT, why would people pay to watch them in theatres? Hardik Mehta, whose Roohi Afzana starring Janhvi Kapoor and Rajkummar Rao is stuck, says, “It’s an important step forward. Let’s run cinema halls for 24 hours, but only at 50% capacity. Also, Nolan will release Tenet in July, even those at home will say ‘I’ll have to go to a theatre’,” he says.












