Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 856
5:04 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
The Diwali release – Singham Again and Bhool Bhulaiyaa 3 – have done maximum business and now all eyes are on the mid-sized releases this month. The biggest release of the week is Kanguva, which is released today, Thursday, November 14. It is a Tamil film which has been widely released in its dubbed Hindi version. It stars Suriya, Bobby Deol and Disha Patani and looks like a grand flick.
However, Kanguva’s excitement is limited. The film is expected to open at around Rs. 2.25-3 crores in Hindi. The word of mouth seems mixed and hence, it’s difficult to say if it’ll have a long run at the box office. The first-day collections in the original Tamil language are decent.
The other Hindi release is The Sabarmati Report. It stars Vikrant Massey, Ridhi Dogra and Raashii Khanna and is based on the 2002 Godhra riots. The film went on floors in January 2024 and the initial plan was to release on May 3. The plan failed to materialize and also the Central Board of Film Certification had some objections. Later, the film was reshot and the original director Ranjan Chandel left the project.
The awareness is there for The Sabarmati Report but the excitement is limited. Vikrant’s recent controversial interviews have grabbed eyeballs but it remains to be seen if it translates into healthy ticket sales.
Lastly, Gladiator II will see an early release tomorrow in India, a week before the release in North America. It is the sequel to the 2000 classic movie which has a strong recall value even today. The early reviews are positive and even in India, the advance booking has been better than expected. Hence, it’s a film that can surprise this weekend.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 855
10:18 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
The big Diwali releases – Singham Again and Bhool Bhulaiyaa 3 – have managed to bring cheer in the film industry and the exhibition sector. The Diwali puja was held a day before their release, on Thursday, October 31. That’s a day when the public stays away from cinemas. This saved both films.
Singham Again opened with a bang at Rs. 40 crores. After such a big opening, the film dropped to Rs. 38.25 crores on Saturday and Rs. 33 crores on Sunday. Hence, it had a weekend of Rs. 111.25 crores. On Monday, the collections were Rs. 17.50 crores. The four-day earnings are Rs. 128.75 crores and the first week will close at around Rs. 175 crores.
At this rate, Singham Again should target a lifetime of around Rs. 250 crores. The clash has affected the film and if it had been released two weeks later without competition, it could have had a record opening and probably may have crossed the Rs. 300 crores mark.
Bhool Bhulaiyaa 3, meanwhile, benefitted big time. It opened beyond expectations at Rs. 33.25 crores. It had a slight jump on Saturday when it collected Rs. 34.75 crores. It earned Rs. 32 crores on Sunday and just like Singham Again, it also collected Rs. 17.50 crores on Monday. Its four-day collections stand at Rs. 117.50 crores and its first week will be around Rs. 147 crores. Bhool Bhulaiyaa 3 will cross the Rs. 200 crores mark and it remains to be seen what its lifetime would be.
The Diwali effect extended in the weekdays as well but by Wednesday, it’ll be over. This is when both films will see a major drop. Hence, the hold on the second Friday and second Monday will be crucial to understanding where the films are heading.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 854
2:55 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
The epic Diwali clash will take place tomorrow at the box office and the excitement is tremendous.
The biggest film of the week is Singham Again. Directed by Rohit Shetty, it is the fifth film in the Rohit Shetty cop universe. This time Ajay Devgn is joined by Ranveer Singh aka Simmba, Akshay Kumar aka Sooryavanshi and also Kareena Kapoor, Deepika Padukone and Tiger Shroff. Arjun Kapoor and Tiger Shroff are the villains. It is the biggest multi-starrer in a long time and moreover, the franchise is very popular. Hence, the film will have the upper hand. It is all set to open around Rs. 40 crores and might even go higher. If it was a solo release, it would have opened at 50 crores plus or even Rs. 60 crores plus.
The other release of the week is Bhool Bhulaiyaa 3. It brings back Kartik Aaryan and marks the return of Vidya Balan after her excellent portrayal in the first part. They are also joined by Madhuri Dixit and Triptii Dimri. This is also a popular franchise and moreover, it is a horror comedy, which is working big time right now. It is expected to open at around Rs. 25-30 crores and thus, emerge as the biggest opener for Kartik by miles.
Both films, however, face challenges. The trailers of both films have been liked but not loved. With Singham Again, people have apprehensions that too much has been shown in the 5-minute trailer. Also, Arjun Kapoor is the villain and it looks unconvincing, at least from the promo, that so many heroes had to come together to defeat him. Hence, it is crucial that Arjun is shown as a very deadly villain which will make the coming together of the cops believable.
As for Bhool Bhulaiyaa 3, there’s a fear that people might get bored of the overdose of horror comedy. The fight for screens also got ugly but thankfully, it was resolved by Tuesday. Many begged the makers of these two films to not clash as there’s no other major release in November. One of these two films could have come on November 15 and got almost all screens without a problem. But the plea fell on deaf ears.
However, all will be well if the content clicks. If that happens, both films can have a total lifetime collection of more than Rs. 600 or even Rs. 700 crores, which will spread cheer everywhere.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 853
10:29 AM
Posted by Fenil Seta
Stree 2 emerged as the biggest blockbuster of Hindi cinema, after which the theatrical business has been struggling. A lot was expected from Joker: Folie à Deux. However, the way it crashed after a decent first day was a shocker. Vicky Vidya Ka Woh Wala Video and Jigra also couldn’t do much. Devara - Part 1 did get some footfalls although it underperformed. Vettaiyan got some audience in the Hindi version. The exhibitors were ready to struggle until Singham Again and Bhool Bhulaiyaa 3's release next Friday. Hence, they were pleasantly surprised to see that Venom: The Last Dance is all set for a solid opening.
Venom: The Last Dance is the third part of the Venom franchise. The earlier two parts were decent successes. The second instalment, Venom: Let There Be Carnage, was released in 2021 when Maharashtra was shut and when cinemas were operating at 50% occupancy. Yet, it had a fair opening. The series also has an advantage as it’s not elite. It has a following even among the masses.
Venom: The Last Dance will have paid previews on Thursday, October 24 and a full-fledged release on Friday, October 25. With no other film playing, the film is set to have a wide paid preview release, which is unusual. The advance ticket sales are great and it’ll open at around Rs. 4 crores, though shows start from 4:00 pm on Thursday. If the reports are positive, it’ll collect around Rs. 6 crores on Friday. At this rate, it’ll have weekend collections of Rs. 20 crores. This would be more than the three-day collections of Vicky Vidya Ka Woh Wala Video and Jigra.
Its second-week collections will be greatly impacted since Singham Again and Bhool Bhulaiyaa 3 release on Diwali and will take away a big chunk of the screens. Nevertheless, a Rs. 40 crore lifetime will be great for the film. It also has chances to cross the Rs. 50 crore mark if it trends, albeit at lower levels, from the second week.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 852
10:14 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
DRY WEEK AHEAD AS LAST WEEK’S FILMS FLOP
A lot was expected from the Dussehra releases, namely Vicky Vidya Ka Woh Wala Video and Jigra. Sadly, both had a negative word of mouth. As predicted, Jigra opened at Rs. 4.50 crores and jumped to Rs. 6.50 crores on Saturday. But that was due to the Dussehra holiday and on Sunday, it dropped to Rs. 5.50 crores. It rang alarm bells as a Sunday drop is a very bad sign. Jigra is expected to collect around Rs. 22 crores in its first week and despite an open run, it’ll not even cross the Rs. 30 crores mark.
Vicky Vidya Ka Woh Wala Video was expected to open around Rs. 6-7 crores but it opened at just Rs. 5.50 crores. Just like Jigra, it saw a jump on Saturday (Rs. 6.75 crores) and then on dropped on Sunday (Rs. 5.75 crores). The reports were negative and surprisingly, it didn’t perform in certain mass belts though it is a mainstream comedy. The only plus for the film is that it did better than Jigra and would end up collecting around Rs. 35-37 crores.
This week was going to see the release of the classic animation film, Ramayana: The Legend Of Prince Rama. It would have got an audience but sadly, its release got postponed. The re-releases would once again take centre stage. The biggest of them is Singham followed by Khosla Ka Ghosla and Suraj Pe Mangal Bhari. The first two might get some audience. There are zero hopes from Suraj Pe Mangal Bhari. This is because there’s no recall value or popularity though it’s a lovely entertainer.
As for Hollywood, a film named The Apprentice, based on Donald Trump, was all set to be released. But its release got delayed after the makers refused to accept the Censor cuts. The biggest Hollywood film of the week is The Wild Robot. It was released in North America on October 4 and has received a humongous response. It now remains to be seen if it manages to bring some respite at the box office in India.
The other new releases from Bollywood and Hollywood are Aayushmati Geeta Matric Pass, Settlement and Goodrich. All these films will sink without a trace.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 851
3:09 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
Before the ultimate Diwali clash, the industry gears up for the release of Vicky Vidya Ka Woh Wala Video and Jigra this Friday. Both films have big names in the star cast and are handled by reputed filmmakers.
Vicky Vidya Ka Woh Wala Video stars Rajkummar Rao and Tripti Dimrii and also stars Mallika Sherawat in a crucial role. It is directed by Raaj Shaandilyaa, who also made Dream Girl and is considered one of the few filmmakers who can still make old-school comedy films. The premise of the film is interesting – a newly wedded couple makes an intimate video and it gets stolen. The trailer is hilarious and has received a positive response. The songs, too, have got attention and it has kept the film in public memory. Both Rajkummar and Triptii are having a great run. In fact, Rajkummar Rao’s last film, Stree 2, came just two months ago and is the biggest hit ever in Hindi cinema.
Vicky Vidya Ka Woh Wala Video will open in the range of Rs. 6-7 crores and if the response is positive, it can see a huge jump. The Dussehra holiday, sadly, is on Saturday, October 12 but if the film has good word of mouth, it’ll have a clean run for three weeks.
Jigra, meanwhile, stars Alia Bhatt and Vedang Raina and is directed by Vasan Bala of Monica O My Darling fame. It is a lovely story of a sister going all out to save her brother. The teaser left an impact, especially with the use of the song ‘Phoolon Ka Taron Ka’. But many also complained that it didn’t pack a punch as intended. The trailer had a thriller feel and got a better response.
Still, the film has challenges as the songs haven’t worked at all. The promotion has been minimal. Also, certain comments of Alia have been interpreted in a certain way and have gone viral, leading to trolling. The decision by the producers, Dharma Productions, to not hold a press show has also raised questions about the film.
Nevertheless, these factors won’t matter if Jigra has substance. It’ll open around Rs. 4-5 crores and if word of mouth is on its side, it’ll see a huge jump on Saturday and Sunday.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 850
11:16 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
The Hindi version of last week’s release Devara - Part 1 has emerged as a surprise. Not much was expected from it, especially when it didn’t get an encouraging advance. But it managed to open at Rs. 7.50 crores, more than the expected figure of Rs. 6 crores. The collections jumped to Rs. 8.75 crores on Saturday and Rs. 10.25 crores on Sunday respectively. On Monday, it dropped to Rs. 3.75 crores but jumped to Rs. 4 crores on Tuesday as Wednesday, October 2, was a holiday on account of Gandhi Jayanti.
On Gandhi Jayanti, the film has collected around Rs. 5 crores. The collections will drop on Thursday but the first week's earnings will be around Rs. 43-44 crores, which is not bad at all. It’ll hold in the second week due to no competition. Hence, it has a chances to collect Rs. 70-75 crores in its lifetime.
Meanwhile, Joker: Folie à Deux was released on October 2 to take advantage of the Gandhi Jayanti holiday though it's releasing in most parts of the world on October 4. Incidentally, the first part, Joker, was also released in 2019 on Wednesday, October 2. Then, it opened at Rs. 5.25 crores and the sequel is expected to open at around Rs. 5.50-6 crores. The first part had dropped to Rs. 3.25 crores on Thursday, October 3. Joker: Folie à Deux, sadly, might have a bigger drop as the word of mouth is quite negative. This is unlike the first part, which enjoyed unanimous acclaim.
The goodwill of the first part and clean run until October 11 will also benefit Joker: Folie à Deux. Joker went on to collect around Rs. 67 crores with the first week collections amounting to Rs. 37.89 crores. Joker: Folie à Deux, sadly, will end its collections under Rs. 40 crores looking at the response. A clearer picture will emerge on Monday, October 7 after the extended weekend ends.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 849
5:45 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
The first big film after 7 weeks, Devara - Part 1, is all set to release in cinemas tomorrow and the excitement is tremendous for the original Telugu version. It stars Jr NTR and this is his first film after RRR, which took his stardom to another level. The presence of Hindi actors like Saif Ali Khan and Janhvi Kapoor have also grabbed eyeballs. Moreover, the film looks like a grand entertainer and will also see a release in the IMAX version.
In the original Telugu version, the film will take an earth-shattering start. In the home market of Telangana and Andhra Pradesh, it’ll be around Rs. 65 crores and it won’t be a surprise if it touches the Rs. 70 crores mark. The worldwide all languages first day will be around Rs. 120-125 crores. This would mean Devara - Part 1 will be the second Rs. 100 crore plus opener for Jr NTR.
The buzz for the Hindi version, however, is low. The film has got a grand release as it’s the first biggie in Hindi after Stree 2. Hence, many single screens and multiplexes have given the film a lot of shows. There’s also a hope that it’ll work as it’s a masala flick and such films can attract the audience.
As of now, the Hindi version of Devara - Part 1 seems to open at around Rs. 5-6 crores. If the response is positive, the second day can see collections in double digits.
The other significant release of the week is Binny And Family. It marks the debut of Varun Dhawan’s niece Anjini Dhawan and also stars Pankaj Kapur. The film looks like a lovely family entertainer and has been a talking point in the industry as many have already been shown the film. The screen count is limited and if it manages to get thumbs up from the moviegoers, it can see a huge jump from Saturday.
Meanwhile, the Marathi film, Navra Maza Navsacha 2, had a huge first week and will continue to do well in Week 1. However, it’ll face show-sharing issues due to the new release, Dharmaveer 2, which is also expected to take a healthy start.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 848
11:07 AM
Posted by Fenil Seta
Tomorrow, most theatres across the country will sell tickets for just Rs. 99 as part of the National Cinema Day. This offer will be valid only on regular seats while the tickets of IMAX, 3D, 4DX and recliner class will be available between Rs. 130 and Rs. 199. As it has happened in the past, the audience, this time too, is going to come in hordes to cinemas due to the offer.
The biggest beneficiary of the offer will be the big Hindi release of the week, Yudhra. It stars Siddhant Chaturvedi, Malavika Mohanan and Raghav Juyal and is produced by Ritesh Sidhwani and Farhan Akhtar's Excel Entertainment. Ravi Udyawar of Mom (2017) is the director. The film was launched way back in 2021 and got stuck due to pandemic challenges. Also, a small part of the film was reshot to enhance its scale.
The film’s buzz is limited but has a youthful appeal. Thanks to the National Cinema Day offer, its shows are fast-filling. The film will open around Rs. 2-3 crores and it might even go higher if the demand increases as the day passes. If the reports are positive, Yudhra will be in a good position to score at the box office on Saturday and Sunday.
The other big film that will have an advantage is Navra Maza Navsacha 2. It is the sequel to the cult Marathi film Navra Maza Navsacha and stars Sachin Pilgaonkar, Ashok Saraf, Supriya Pilgaonkar and Swwapnil Joshi. The demand for the film is tremendous. Many shows across Maharashtra are already sold out and theatres are increasing the film's shows to cope up with the demand. It will surely have a huge opening and it won’t be a surprise if it opens better than Yudhra.
The other Hindi release of the week is Kahan Shuru Kahan Khatam, which marks the debut of Dhvani Bhanushali. Transformers One and Never Let Go are the Hollywood releases. All these films will also get an audience due to the offer of National Cinema Day.
The holdover releases like Tumbbad and Stree 2 will have an added advantage thanks to National Cinema Day. Even the shows of The Buckingham Murders are going full and hence, its eighth day might be around Rs. 90 lakhs-Rs. 1 crore, which will be a good sign.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 847
4:26 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
Finally, after nearly a month, a mainstream Hindi film would be up for release – The Buckingham Murders. It stars Kareena Kapoor in the lead and it also marks her first film as a producer. It is directed by Hansal Mehta and is the story of a cop with a tragic past trying to solve a murder case. Kareena looks apt for the role and with Hansal as its director, it can be a film to watch out for. Interestingly, it is releasing in the original Hinglish version as well as the dubbed Hindi version.
Sadly, the buzz for The Buckingham Murders is very low. There’s hardly even any awareness about the film. Hence, the opening will be poor and hopefully, with good word of mouth, it’ll pick up considerably.
The film that would make the most noise this week is Tumbbad. It was released in 2018 and did a business of just Rs. 12.14 crores. Over the years, it achieved a cult following. Interestingly, the film has vanished from the internet and now, the only way to watch it is in cinemas when it re-releases tomorrow. In 2018, it had an opening of Rs. 51 lakhs. This time, it seems like it’ll have double the opening as the advances are encouraging and many shows are fast-filling. A theatre like Cinepolis, Viviana Mall, Thane is playing as many as 14 shows of the film, which is unheard of for a re-released film!
The other surprise re-release is Tujhe Meri Kasam. It was the debut of Riteish Deshmukh and Genelia Deshmukh. Many are not aware that it never got a release on OTT, TV or DVD and has a cult following in certain towns of Maharashtra. It has got limited shows and there’s curiosity among a tiny section of the audience for this film as they want to know why this film is watched 4, 5 and even 6 times by some people.
Veer-Zaara’s re-release caught attention and it now remains to be seen how it fares. Finally, the Hollywood film Speak No Evil has a limited release and will need positive reports to sustain.
On OTT, Sector 36 would drop on Netflix. It stars Vikrant Massey and Deepak Dobriyal and is produced by Dinesh Vijan's Maddock Films and Jio Studios. The awareness is limited but it got a great response at a film festival recently. Hence, it can be expected to get huge viewership.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 846
11:06 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
After a period of no significant releases, the Hindi film industry was gearing up for the release of a major film, Kangana Ranaut’s Emergency, on September 6. But on September 1, the makers of the film decided to postpone its release indefinitely. This was done after the Central Board of Film Certificate withheld the certificate. There is also a court case on the film as there are allegations that the film might hurt a section of society.
Meanwhile, Thalapathy Vijay’s The Greatest of All Time was released in cinemas today, that is, September 5. It took an earth-shattering opening in the Tamil version and collections are expected to be around Rs. 50 crores. Interestingly, in Mumbai, there were shows at 4:00 am and 5:00 am in many cinemas and almost all of them were sold out.
Often, biggies down South open strongly and then fall if the reports are not positive. But if word of mouth is encouraging, it’ll go on to do huge business. The response to The Greatest of All Time seems positive and it seems like it’ll do well. But since the response is not out of the world, it’ll fall at some point, maybe on the weekdays. However, by then, it’ll manage to become a success. This is Thalapathy Vijay’s second last film and hence, the excitement is even more for this flick.
The Hindi version is titled Thalapathy Is The G.O.A.T. and has also been released today. However, the buzz for it is very low and it collected around Rs. 1.50-2 crores. But often, dubbed versions of South films open slowly and then pick up if the film has been liked. Moreover, there’s no competition other than Stree 2. Hence, many theatres have also given the film a good showcasing.
Stree 2, meanwhile, continues its dream run. It collected Rs. 494.54 crores until Wednesday. It’ll now enter the Rs. 500 crore club on Friday, September 6. With little competition until October 2, there’s now a high chance that it’ll cross the collections of Jawan and emerge as the biggest Hindi grosser ever!
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 845
10:22 AM
Posted by Fenil Seta
With three films released on Independence Day, out of which two suffered, there is a dearth of new releases for the next month. Very few films are up for release in September and none of them seem exciting as of now.
Stree 2, meanwhile, continues its dream run. It collected a huge Rs. 294 crores in the first week. The collections jumped on the second Friday which made it clear that it’ll have a huge weekend. After collecting Rs. 18.50 crores on Friday, it collected Rs. 33 crores on Saturday and a whopping Rs. 41 crores on Sunday. This is unbelievable for a film devoid of stars. On Monday, on account of Janmashtami, it collected Rs. 18 crores and thus crossed the Rs. 400 crores mark. The two-week collections are expected to be around Rs. 433 crores. Its collections in the second week would be around Rs. 139-140 crores and this is simply phenomenal.
Stree 2 would jump yet again in the coming weekend and would cross the Rs. 500 crores mark in its fourth week. It’ll continue to be in cinemas for a long, long time.
Khel Khel Mein, which clashed with Stree 2, suffered due to the clash. But it’s now holding up well in select centres. It’s common to see shows getting filled up even on weekdays, but only in some theatres in a few cities. It’ll collect Rs. 28 crores in two weeks and collections hopefully would cross the Rs. 35 crores mark. This film, too, would hang in cinemas for many weeks. The hope is that those who have seen Stree 2 will now opt for this film.
Tomorrow, two films are up for release – A Wedding Story and The Diary Of West Bengal. The first one is a horror and stars some known faces but it would go unnoticed. The latter seems like a propaganda flick and such films don't have an audience anymore. Hollywood films like Afraid and The Crow, too, will struggle to get an audience. Surya's Saturday, the Hindi version of Nani's Telugu flick Saripodhaa Sanivaaram, also releases tomorrow but awareness is very limited.
Meanwhile, taking advantage of the re-release trend, three old films will try their luck in cinemas tomorrow – Rehnaa Hai Terre Dil Mein, Gangs Of Wasseypur 1 & 2 and Kantara.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 844
4:56 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
The three-way clash occurred on Independence Day last week. Stree 2 was expected to take a flying start. An opening of Rs. 35-40 crores would have been extraordinary for this film as it doesn’t have a huge star cast. But Stree 2 opened at Rs. 53.25 crores, a figure no one imagined in their wildest dreams. Moreover, this happened with fewer screens as some showcasing was given to Khel Khel Mein and Vedaa. If these two films were not there, Stree 2 might have opened at Rs. 60 crores. One must also remember that it also had paid previews when it collected Rs. 8.75 crores, the highest ever a film has collected in previews.
Stree 2 enjoyed a terrific word of mouth and also has repeat value. As a result, the collections remained rock steady; it earned Rs. 31.50 crores on Friday and Rs. 44.50 crores on Saturday. On Sunday, it collected more than Thursday – Rs. 57 crores. Since Monday was a holiday on account of Raksha Bandhan, it collected Rs. 37 crores. On Tuesday, a working day, the collections dropped to Rs. 25 crores but it’s still praiseworthy.
The first week's collections are expected to be around Rs. 290 crores. With no competition this week and next, it’ll continue to score big time. Hence, a lifetime of more than Rs. 500 crores is expected.
Vedaa, meanwhile, opened at Rs. 6.25 crores. The word of mouth was not encouraging. As a result, it dropped to Rs. 2 crores on Friday, which sealed its fate. The makers had to implement a Buy One Get One ticket-free scheme to lure the viewers. It didn’t help much as the film collected Rs. 2.50 crores and Rs. 2.75 crores on Saturday and Sunday respectively. After the extended weekend ended, the collections fell below Rs. 1 crore from Tuesday. Its first week collections will be around Rs. 17.25 crores and now it’ll be a struggle for the film to cross the Rs. 25 crores mark. The makers have now asked cinemas to sell Vedaa's tickets for Rs. 99 and Rs. 150.
Khel Khel Mein, on the other hand, opened lower than Vedaa at Rs. 5.75 crores. But it went ahead as its word of mouth was positive. Yet, the collections remained on the lower side. It collected Rs. 2.25 crores on Friday, Rs. 3.25 crores on Saturday and Rs. 4 crores on Sunday. On Monday, the collections were Rs. 2 crores. The Tuesday and Wednesday earnings were in the Rs. 1 crore range. The collections of the first week will be around Rs. 20.40 crores.
What goes in favour of the film is that it's holding steady in urban areas. In fact, it might continue to collect for a few weeks. Those who have seen Stree 2 already might watch this film later on. Yet, with the opening so low, the film at the most can have a lifetime of Rs. 30 crores or maybe it can reach the Rs. 35 crores mark.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 843
11:28 AM
Posted by Fenil Seta
The mega clash between Stree 2, Vedaa and Khel Khel Mein will take place tomorrow, August 15. However, it seems like Stree 2 is miles ahead while the other two would suffer as the former has turned out to be a much bigger opposition than anticipated.
Stree’s first part opened at Rs. 6.62 crores and went on to collect Rs. 124.56 crores in its lifetime. Stree 2, meanwhile, would open between Rs. 35-40 crores and can even go higher. It also has paid previews today from 9:30 pm where it can earn Rs. 7 crores plus. This means that it’ll break the 11-year record of Chennai Express. The Shah Rukh Khan starrer was the highest-paid preview grosser, collecting Rs. 6.75 crores.
Vedaa and Khel Khel Mein, meanwhile, are facing the heat. Usually, it happens that during a clash, the weaker film benefits when the overflow audience from the main film throngs to see the latter. It means that if the audience doesn’t get a ticket to the most exciting film, they’ll settle for the second option. OMG 2 benefited this way during the clash with Gadar 2. Even Sam Bahadur got an edge when it was released alongside Animal.
But both OMG 2 and Sam Bahadur had advantages. OMG 2’s first part was much loved. The controversy over its cuts had enhanced curiosity. Sam Bahadur’s trailer got a good response and since Animal was ‘A’ rated, the family audience preferred the Vicky Kaushal-starrer. Sadly, Vedaa and Khel Khel Mein don’t have such advantages. The trailers of both films have got just a fair response while the songs in both the movies haven’t worked. Stree 2, meanwhile, has a lot of factors going in its favour – from the brand value to songs to outstanding trailer to the lucrative horror comedy genre.
Hence, the demand for Stree 2 is too high and it's difficult to say if viewers would opt for Vedaa and Khel Khel Mein in case the former’s shows are full as the excitement for the latter is very limited. Vedaa is ahead and will collect around Rs. 7 crores while Khel Khel Mein would have an opening of around Rs. 6 crores. Since films tend to overperform on Independence Day, these two films can have a higher number as well.
Despite the poor opening, Vedaa and Khel Khel Mein still stand a chance. This is because the holiday period extends till Monday, August 19. Even Monday, August 26 is a holiday due to Janmashtami. Hence, the two long weekends are enough for these films to sail through, provided the word of mouth is positive. If the reports are bad, then it’ll prove detrimental.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 842
11:09 AM
Posted by Fenil Seta
Last week’s releases, Auron Mein Kahan Dum Tha and Ulajh, had a horrible performance in cinemas, sending shockwaves in the industry. Everyone expected Auron Mein Kahan Dum Tha to have a tough time but the hope was that it would open more than Sarfira (Rs. 2.50 crores) or in the same range. However, it opened at just Rs. 1.65 crores. Now, it was crucial for the film to have a 100% jump on Saturday. It would have not made the film a hit but at least, it would have had a respectable lifetime. Sadly, word of mouth was very poor. Hence, it collected Rs. 1.75 crores on Saturday and Rs. 1.85 crores on Sunday. It’s holding at around Rs. 55 lakhs on the weekdays and will have the first week collections of just Rs. 7.25 crores. Ideally, this should have been the first-day earnings of the film!
It now remains to be seen if Auron Mein Kahan Dum Tha manages to cross the Rs. 10 crore mark. Ulajh, meanwhile, opened at just Rs. 1.15 crores. It jumped to Rs. 1.65 crores on Saturday and by collecting Rs. 1.95 crores on Sunday, it edged past Auron Mein Kahan Dum Tha’s third-day collections. Ulajh is now collecting around Rs. 50 lakhs on the weekdays and will collect around Rs. 6.25-6.50 crores in the first week.
The holdover releases like Deadpool & Wolverine, Bad Newz etc. aren’t collecting as much and hence, it’s a tough time for theatres. To tide over this bad time, the Multiplex Association of India is once again celebrating Cinema Lovers Day on Friday, August 9. As part of this celebration, the tickets will be sold for Rs. 99 on Friday and Rs. 199 on Saturday and Sunday. Earlier, Cinema Lovers Day got a huge response but that won’t be possible this time.
Yet, a small Hollywood film will manage to bring some smiles to the exhibitors. It Ends With Us releases tomorrow with paid previews happening today. And the advance ticket sales have pleasantly surprised one and all. Usually, such small Hollywood romantic films have a very niche audience. But It Ends With Us has generated excitement. The audience is aware that tickets have lower prices over the weekends. Yet, the urgency is such that the paid previews, which have normal rates, are fast-filling. If the paid previews + day 1 collections are Rs. 1 crore, it’ll be a great result for the film and then it’ll hang around in cinemas for many weeks.
The other Hollywood release Borderlands might also get some footfalls. The new Hindi releases – Ghuspaithiya and Aliya Basu Gayab Hai – will sink without a trace.
Lastly, Laila Majnu will have a re-release tomorrow across India. It bombed badly when it was released in 2018 but over the years, it has achieved a cult status. Last week, it was released in Kashmir and drew house full crowds. Hence, it is expected to have a similar performance tomorrow, with lower ticket prices also proving to be an advantage.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 841
11:26 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
The mega clash between three big films is on for the long Independence Day weekend. Before that, the trade is hoping that the two mid-sized flicks are able to score at the box office when they release tomorrow.
The biggest out of the two is Auron Mein Kahan Dum Tha, starring Ajay Devgn and Tabu. Shantanu Maheshwari and Saiee M Manjrekar play their younger versions in this musical drama which also stars Jimmy Shergill. It is directed by Neeraj Pandey, known for slick thrillers and this is the first time he’s making a mature love story. The trailer is okay and sadly, the songs haven’t worked at all. As a result, the buzz for the film is limited. The opening will be poor and the hope is that it’ll open better than Akshay Kumar’s latest film Sarfira which opened at Rs. 2.50 crores.
The other release is Ulajh, starring Janhvi Kapoor, Gulshan Devaiah, Roshan Mathew, Meiyang Chang, Rajesh Tailang and Adil Hussain. It is a rare Hindi film about the Indian Foreign Service. The trailer is intriguing and it promises an edge-of-the-seat thriller. The casting is enticing as well.
But just like Auron Mein Kahan Dum Tha, the subject seems to have limited appeal and even here, the music hasn’t become a rage. Hence, the film has chances but only in urban multiplexes. It has got lesser showcasing and its first-day collections will also be less than the Ajay Devgn starrer. Ulajh hopefully would open at around Rs. 1 crore.
Meanwhile, Deadpool & Wolverine, as predicted in last week’s edition, opened at Rs. 21 crores. However, it didn’t see a big jump on Saturday when it collected Rs. 22.50 crores. On Sunday, the earnings should have been more. Instead, it dropped to Rs. 21.50 crores. This made it clear that it’ll see a huge drop on Monday. And that’s what happened when it collected Rs. 6.75 crores. The film will collect around Rs. 85-90 crores in the first week. It should see a jump in the second weekend and again, it’ll drop sharply in the weekdays and this will go on until Independence Day.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 840
4:08 PM
Posted by Fenil Seta
As predicted, last week’s romcom Bad Newz had a healthy opening of Rs. 8.25 crores thanks to an amusing subject and hit trailer and songs. The word of mouth, however, was decent and not highly positive. Its weekend collections were Rs. 29.75 crores and could have crossed the Rs. 30 crore work with better reports. On Monday, the makers implemented the controversial Buy One Get One (BOGO) ticket scheme. It happened late in the day and the earnings that day were Rs. 3.50 crores. The effect of the offer was seen the next day when the film collected as much on Tuesday as on Monday. The first week’s collections will be around Rs. 43 crores and how much it drops after the release of Deadpool & Wolverine remains to be seen.
This is because Deadpool & Wolverine is all set for a smashing opening. The excitement for the film is tremendous as it brings two popular and drastically opposite superheroes for the first time. The trailers have added to the hype. The advance booking in India opened last week to a fantastic response. The ticket rates are high and yet, audiences are booking in hordes.
As per the trends, Deadpool & Wolverine is all set to break the opening day record of Oppenheimer, that is, Rs. 14.50 crores and also that of Thor: Love And Thunder, which is Rs. 18.48 crores. It won’t be able to go past the opening day number of Doctor Strange In The Multiverse Of Madness – Rs. 28.74 crores. Nevertheless, the opening of Deadpool & Wolverine will be Rs. 20 crore plus. It’ll all depend on the bookings today and the current booking tomorrow to understand what the opening would be. There’s a small chance that it can cross the Rs. 25 crore mark but it’s too early to predict.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 839
10:54 AM
Posted by Fenil Seta
Last week’s big release, Sarfira, performed poorly at the box office. It was never expected to do big numbers on the first day. Yet, one hoped and prayed that it’ll open at around Rs. 5 crores. Sadly, the film opened at half the expected number – Rs. 2.50 crores. It collected Rs. 4 crores and Rs. 4.50 crores on Saturday and Sunday. On Monday, it dropped to Rs. 1.40 crores and had a slight jump on Tuesday when it earned Rs. 1.60 crores. This is because of the Muharram holiday on Wednesday. It’ll drop down again on Thursday and hence, the first week collections will be in the range of Rs. 17.30 crores. It will have reduced showcasing in the second week due to the release of Bad Newz. As a result, it’ll now struggle to even cross the Rs. 25 crores mark.
As for Bad Newz, the film seems to be safe. It stars Vicky Kaushal, Triptii Dimri and Ammy Virk. As the name suggests, it is on the lines of Good Newz and rests on a bizarre pregnancy-related plot. This time, a woman is pregnant with twins belonging to two different men.
Bad Newz was shot way back in 2022 and was scheduled to be released on August 25 last year. The film got pushed back by nearly 11 months. This postponement has worked in the film’s favour. This is because Animal, which was released in December, made Triptii Dimri a 'national crush'. One of the reasons the film has more hype today is due to her presence. Last year, before Animal’s release, the makers wouldn’t have had this advantage.
Besides the exciting subject, the trailer has also worked with the audience. The songs, too, have become chartbusters, especially ‘Tauba Tauba’. The song ‘Jaanam’, featuring Vicky Kaushal and Triptii Dimri, is too hot and needless to say, it has grabbed attention. At the same time, it might keep a section of the family audience away, at least on the first day.
Bad Newz is expected to open in the range of Rs. 7 crores with a good chance that it’ll hit the Rs. 8 crore mark. If that happens and if it sees a good jump in the next two days, it can have weekend collections of Rs. 30 crores plus. In fact, if word of mouth is positive, it can hang around in cinemas until Independence Day and end up with a healthy lifetime.
The other release of the week is Twisters. The earlier part, Twister, has a good following. The standalone sequel was released today, on a Thursday. It might start slow but it can grow if reports are positive.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 838
10:13 AM
Posted by Fenil Seta
WILL SARFIRA TURN THE TIDE FOR AKSHAY KUMAR?
Akshay Kumar is back with his second release of the year, Sarfira. It releases tomorrow and is inspired by the life of G R Gopinath, the father of low-cost aviation in India. Sarfira is also the official remake of the 2020 acclaimed Tamil film Soorarai Pottru, which had Suriya in the lead. The story is inspiring and from the trailer, it looks like a faithful remake.
Sadly, the buzz for the film is limited. The subject, though interesting, seems niche for the mass audience. Also, Akshay Kumar’s films aren’t working that well nowadays. 5 years ago, a film like this was a sure-shot success. Some of his films last year like Selfiee and Mission Raniganj were well-made and got acclaim. But they opened at Rs. 2.54 crores and Rs. 2.75 crores respectively. Sarfira hopefully will open better than these films and the hope is that it’ll collect around Rs. 5 crores. And then it should hopefully see a jump on Saturday and Sunday. This is crucial since next week, it’ll face tough competition from Bad Newz.
Even this week, Sarfira has competition in the form of Hindustani 2. It is the sequel to the much-loved 1996 vigilante flick, Hindustani. Kamal Haasan once again reprises the role of Senapathi and Shankar is back as the director. This time, the film also stars Siddharth and Rakul Preet Singh.
Hindustani had worked well in cinemas then but that was 28 years ago. A whole new generation is not aware of that film. Gadar 2 also came 22 years after the first part but the latter had a strong recall value among the youngsters. Hindustani 2 doesn’t have that advantage.
It now remains to be seen which film out of the two – Sarfira and Hindustani 2 – opens better. Hindustani 2 needs to be a really great film in true Shankar style. If that happens, it can be a surprise at the box office.
Fenil's Bollywood Talk # 837
9:15 AM
Posted by Fenil Seta
Last week’s big release Kalki 2898 AD has brought respite to the exhibitors, especially the single screen cinema owners who were feeling the heat. Many expected the film to open at Rs. 22-23 crores on Thursday, June 27. However, it had an opening of Rs. 21.25 crores. The films that are released on Thursday often drop on Friday. But this film, on its second day, had a small jump and earned Rs. 22 crores. On Saturday, it accumulated Rs. 25.50 crores despite the World Cup Match. And then on Sunday, it jumped to Rs. 38.50 crores. The Monday and Tuesday collections were Rs. 16 crores and Rs. 13 crores respectively.
Kalki 2898 AD’s first week collections are expected to be between Rs. 155-160 crores. It can hold strongly in the second week as well and its target should be to cross the Rs. 275 crore collections of RRR. Crossing the Rs. 300 crore mark seems impossible but in today’s times, anything can happen. What would act as an obstacle in its collections is the release of Hindustani 2 and Sarfira in its third week, that is, on July 12.
There was going to be a major Hindi film, Auron Mein Kahan Dum Tha, up for release on July 5. But the Ajay Devgn-Tabu starrer was postponed after it became clear that it would struggle to get sufficient shows due to the Kalki 2898 AD wave.
The major Hindi release this week is Kill. It stars Lakshya in his debut role and is produced by Karan Johar’s Dharma Productions and Guneet Monga’s Sikhya Entertainment. It was screened last year at the Toronto International Film Festival where it got an amazing reaction. Lionsgate, in fact, picked up Kill for distribution in North America and is giving it a wide release.
Kill is an extremely violent film and hence, it is only for the niche audience. But since it’s an action flick, it might surprise in the mass centres. The announcement that John Wick's director would produce Kill’s Hollywood remake has also made a section of the moviegoers excited for it. It’ll open around Rs. 1 crore and has the potential to grow.
Despicable Me 4, meanwhile, is a Hollywood animated film and a part of a successful franchise. From the ticket sales, it seems like it’ll open better than Kill. After Kung Fu Panda 4 and Inside Out 2, this can be another successful animated film of 2024 that has the potential to cross the Rs. 20 crore mark at least, if not the Rs. 25 crore mark.